I can understand the hesitation in accepting premise number four but let me assure you it is entirely true.

let me provide this discussion as to when a member of the pony party has failed :

also, if you have failed to see this ridiculous pony, this may help in the enlightenment:

in the preceding video, Taft, a member of the pony party, mentions that the other generals may have been right in suggesting that the pony brigade was a mistake. Mistakes are generally construed as failures.

Also, premise number four works hand-in-hand with premise number two showing that once failure has occurred, it is consistently more likely that failure will occur again.

Any questions, Neondantou?

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